Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw ✗84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.66
Union Magdalena vs Quindio preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Union Magdalena take on Quindio on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Sierra Nevada. Union Magdalena are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Quindio sit 1st on 6 points (top of the table). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Union Magdalena's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Tigres FC 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Quindio's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Envigado 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Quindio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Union Magdalena and 0.6 for Quindio. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Magdalena 59%, draw 24%, Quindio 16%.
Safer route: Union Magdalena or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union Magdalena to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Union Magdalena 1–0 Quindio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Magdalena59%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Quindio16%fair 6.09 · @4.10
2.15Expected goals
1.51Union Magdalena xG
0.63Quindio xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.5 – 0.6 Quindio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Magdalena to win✗
59%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Union Magdalena or draw✗
84%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.66
–
Form
Union Magdalena – last 6
LLDLDD
24 Aug
@ Tigres FC
0–1
L
6 Aug
@ Santa Fe
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Orsomarso
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Bogota FC
0–1
L
21 May
vs Bogota FC
0–0
D
17 May
@ Barranquilla
1–1
D
0.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Quindio – last 6
WDDWLL
24 Aug
vs Envigado
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Internacional Palmira
1–1
D
3 Aug
@ Leones FC
1–1
D
29 Jul
vs Deportes Tolima
2–1
W
24 Jul
vs Popayan
0–1
L
22 Jul
@ Deportes Tolima
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Magdalena and Quindio.
What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Quindio?
Our pick is Union Magdalena to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Quindio?
On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Quindio 16%.
How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Quindio?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Quindio?
Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–0 Quindio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Union Magdalena vs Quindio?
Union Magdalena vs Quindio (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
