Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Popayan to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarranquilla to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.56
Barranquilla vs Popayan preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Barranquilla take on Popayan on Tuesday 1 September, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estadio Romelio Martinez. Barranquilla are 15th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Popayan sit 2nd on 7 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Barranquilla's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Internacional Palmira 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Popayan's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Bogota FC 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Popayan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 February 2026, finished Popayan 0–2 Barranquilla.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Barranquilla and 1.1 for Popayan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Popayan to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Barranquilla 1–1 Popayan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barranquilla41%fair 2.41 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Popayan34%fair 2.92 · @3.30
2.38Expected goals
1.27Barranquilla xG
1.12Popayan xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Barranquilla 1.3 – 1.1 Popayan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Barranquilla vs Popayan?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Barranquilla vs Popayan?
On our numbers Barranquilla have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Popayan 34%.
How many goals will there be in Barranquilla vs Popayan?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barranquilla vs Popayan?
Our predicted score is Barranquilla 1–1 Popayan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Barranquilla vs Popayan?
Barranquilla vs Popayan (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romelio Martinez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
