Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Bogota FC to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPopayan to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.34
Popayan vs Bogota FC preview and prediction
The match
Popayan host Bogota FC in the Primera B on Tuesday 25 August, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT). Popayan are 2nd with 7 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Bogota FC sit 10th on 18 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Popayan's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Real Soacha 1–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bogota FC's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Real Cartagena 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Popayan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Bogota FC 2–1 Popayan.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Popayan and 1.0 for Bogota FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Popayan 40%, draw 25%, Bogota FC 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Bogota FC to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Popayan 1–0 Bogota FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Popayan40%fair 2.48 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Bogota FC34%fair 2.91 · @3.10
2.09Expected goals
1.11Popayan xG
0.99Bogota FC xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Popayan 1.1 – 1.0 Bogota FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Popayan vs Bogota FC?
On our numbers Popayan have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bogota FC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Popayan vs Bogota FC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Popayan vs Bogota FC?
Our predicted score is Popayan 1–0 Bogota FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Popayan vs Bogota FC?
Popayan vs Bogota FC (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
