Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Orsomarso to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrsomarso to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceOrsomarso or draw ✗86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.99
Orsomarso vs Tigres FC preview and prediction
The match
Orsomarso host Tigres FC in the Primera B on Thursday 10 September, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata. Orsomarso are 13th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Tigres FC sit 2nd on 5 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Orsomarso's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Real Cartagena 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tigres FC's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Patriotas 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Orsomarso and 0.5 for Tigres FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orsomarso 60%, draw 26%, Tigres FC 14%.
Safer route: Orsomarso or draw (86%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Orsomarso to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Orsomarso 1–0 Tigres FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orsomarso60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.00
Tigres FC14%fair 7.39 · @4.33
1.98Expected goals
1.45Orsomarso xG
0.53Tigres FC xG
48%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Orsomarso 1.5 – 0.5 Tigres FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orsomarso to win✗
60%
1.66
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Orsomarso or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orsomarso / FT Orsomarso✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.99
–
Form
Orsomarso – last 6
LWDDWD
5 Sep
vs Real Cartagena
0–1
L
24 Aug
vs Real Cundinamarca
2–0
W
20 Aug
@ Patriotas
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Union Magdalena
0–0
D
26 Jul
vs Barranquilla
1–0
W
20 May
@ Fortaleza FC
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tigres FC – last 6
LWWWDL
7 Sep
@ Patriotas
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Real Cartagena
3–0
W
24 Aug
vs Union Magdalena
1–0
W
19 Aug
vs Envigado
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Popayan
0–0
D
29 Jul
vs Atletico Nacional
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orsomarso and Tigres FC.
What is the prediction for Orsomarso vs Tigres FC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Orsomarso vs Tigres FC?
On our numbers Orsomarso have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tigres FC 14%.
How many goals will there be in Orsomarso vs Tigres FC?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orsomarso vs Tigres FC?
Our predicted score is Orsomarso 1–0 Tigres FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Orsomarso vs Tigres FC?
Orsomarso vs Tigres FC (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
