Value bet: Real Cartagena to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Cartagena to win ✗43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.64
Real Soacha vs Real Cartagena preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Real Soacha take on Real Cartagena on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Mosquera. Real Soacha are 4th with 2 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Real Cartagena sit 3rd on 5 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Real Soacha's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Envigado 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Real Cartagena's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with America de Cali 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Real Soacha and 1.3 for Real Cartagena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Soacha 34%, draw 24%, Real Cartagena 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Real Cartagena to win at 2.55 – 43% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Real Soacha 1–1 Real Cartagena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Soacha34%fair 2.97 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.95
Real Cartagena43%fair 2.34 · @2.55
2.42Expected goals
1.12Real Soacha xG
1.30Real Cartagena xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Real Soacha 1.1 – 1.3 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Cartagena to win✗
43%
2.34
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.64
–
Form
Real Soacha – last 6
LDLWWD
27 Jul
@ Envigado
0–1
L
26 May
vs Águilas Doradas
2–2
D
17 May
@ Deportivo Pereira
0–1
L
13 May
vs Ind. Yumbo
2–0
W
7 May
@ Jaguares
2–1
W
1 Apr
@ Bogota FC
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Cartagena – last 6
DWLDLW
30 Jul
vs America de Cali
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Real Santander
5–1
W
22 Jul
@ America de Cali
1–2
L
29 May
@ Envigado
1–1
D
26 May
vs Envigado
2–3
L
22 May
vs Barranquilla
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Soacha and Real Cartagena.
What is the prediction for Real Soacha vs Real Cartagena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Real Soacha vs Real Cartagena?
On our numbers Real Soacha have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Cartagena 43%.
How many goals will there be in Real Soacha vs Real Cartagena?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Soacha vs Real Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Real Soacha 1–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Real Soacha vs Real Cartagena?
Real Soacha vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Mosquera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
