Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw ✓89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.75
Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca preview and prediction
The match
FC Cajamarca travel to Estadio Alberto Gallardo in the Primera División on Monday 2 November (21:30 WAT) to face Sporting Cristal. Sporting Cristal are 2nd with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), while FC Cajamarca sit 14th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sporting Cristal's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Alianza Lima 3–2 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
FC Cajamarca's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to UTC Cajamarca 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Sporting Cristal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Sporting Cristal and 0.9 for FC Cajamarca. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting Cristal 68%, draw 21%, FC Cajamarca 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sporting Cristal to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sporting Cristal 2–0 FC Cajamarca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Cristal68%fair 1.46 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @5.50
FC Cajamarca11%fair 9.13 · @10.00
3.35Expected goals
2.42Sporting Cristal xG
0.93FC Cajamarca xG
60%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
3–08%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Sporting Cristal 2.4 – 0.9 FC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Cristal to win✓
68%
1.46
1.25
Double chance
Sporting Cristal or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Sporting Cristal ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal✗
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.75
–
Form
Sporting Cristal – last 6
WLWWWW
29 Oct
vs Alianza Lima
3–2
W
24 Oct
@ Cusco
1–3
L
17 Oct
vs Comerciantes Unidos
4–2
W
1 Oct
vs ADT
5–0
W
27 Sep
@ ADT
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Atletico Grau
3–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC Cajamarca – last 6
LLLDLW
28 Oct
vs UTC Cajamarca
1–3
L
25 Oct
@ Sport Boys
2–4
L
18 Oct
vs UCV Moquegua
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ ADT
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Cusco
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Cristal and FC Cajamarca.
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Sporting Cristal to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Sporting Cristal have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Cajamarca 11%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Sporting Cristal 2–0 FC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?
Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
