UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
UCV Moquegua or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: UCV Moquegua to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUCV Moquegua to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceUCV Moquegua or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.44
UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas preview and prediction
The match
Club Deportivo Los Chankas travel to Estadio 25 de Noviembre in the Primera División on Sunday 1 November (17:00 WAT) to face UCV Moquegua. UCV Moquegua are 17th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Club Deportivo Los Chankas sit 15th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
UCV Moquegua's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to ADT 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Cusco 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–0 UCV Moquegua.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for UCV Moquegua and 0.8 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: UCV Moquegua 62%, draw 22%, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 16%.
Safer route: UCV Moquegua or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Value angle: UCV Moquegua to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was UCV Moquegua or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: UCV Moquegua 1–0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UCV Moquegua62%fair 1.62 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.30
Club Deportivo Los Chankas16%fair 6.23 · @3.50
2.60Expected goals
1.81UCV Moquegua xG
0.79Club Deportivo Los Chankas xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: UCV Moquegua 1.8 – 0.8 Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Our pick is UCV Moquegua or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
On our numbers UCV Moquegua have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Club Deportivo Los Chankas 16%.
How many goals will there be in UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Our predicted score is UCV Moquegua 1–0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
