Value bet: ADT to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultComerciantes Unidos to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT preview and prediction
The match
Comerciantes Unidos host ADT in the Primera División on Tuesday 3 November, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra. Comerciantes Unidos are 13th with 16 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while ADT sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Comerciantes Unidos's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with FBC Melgar 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
ADT's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat UCV Moquegua 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished ADT 2–0 Comerciantes Unidos.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.3 for ADT. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Comerciantes Unidos 40%, draw 24%, ADT 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Value angle: ADT to win at 3.40 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 ADT. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Comerciantes Unidos40%fair 2.48 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.20
ADT35%fair 2.82 · @3.40
2.67Expected goals
1.39Comerciantes Unidos xG
1.28ADT xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Comerciantes Unidos 1.4 – 1.3 ADT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?
On our numbers Comerciantes Unidos have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and ADT 35%.
How many goals will there be in Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?
Our predicted score is Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 ADT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?
Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT (Primera División) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.