FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos preview and prediction
The match
FBC Melgar host Comerciantes Unidos in the Primera División on Friday 30 October, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Monumental de la UNSA. FBC Melgar are 5th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Comerciantes Unidos sit 13th on 16 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FBC Melgar's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat UTC Cajamarca 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Comerciantes Unidos's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Cienciano 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
FBC Melgar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for FBC Melgar and 0.7 for Comerciantes Unidos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FBC Melgar 70%, draw 17%, Comerciantes Unidos 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FBC Melgar to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: FBC Melgar 2–0 Comerciantes Unidos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FBC Melgar70%fair 1.43 · @1.40
Draw17%fair 5.87 · @4.50
Comerciantes Unidos13%fair 7.81 · @6.50
2.87Expected goals
2.12FBC Melgar xG
0.75Comerciantes Unidos xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: FBC Melgar 2.1 – 0.7 Comerciantes Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FBC Melgar to win✗
70%
1.43
1.40
Double chance
FBC Melgar or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
FBC Melgar ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FBC Melgar / FT FBC Melgar✗
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.82
–
Form
FBC Melgar – last 6
WWDDWW
23 Oct
@ UTC Cajamarca
2–1
W
18 Oct
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
4–2
W
11 Oct
@ Universitario
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Sport Boys
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Cusco
1–0
W
7 Sep
vs ADT
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Comerciantes Unidos – last 6
WLDLLD
25 Oct
vs Cienciano
3–1
W
17 Oct
@ Sporting Cristal
2–4
L
10 Oct
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Alianza Atletico
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Sport Huancayo
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Universitario
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FBC Melgar and Comerciantes Unidos.
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our pick is FBC Melgar to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos?
On our numbers FBC Melgar have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Comerciantes Unidos 13%.
How many goals will there be in FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our predicted score is FBC Melgar 2–0 Comerciantes Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos?
FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental de la UNSA.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
