Primera División · Peru · Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la VegaCienciano vs Atletico Grau prediction & analysis
Cienciano to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cienciano 2.1 – 0.5 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cienciano are clear favourites at home with a 74% chance of winning, against 8% for Atletico Grau.
Cienciano have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. Atletico Grau have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (2.1 for Cienciano, 0.5 for Atletico Grau). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (16%), 1–0 (15%), 3–0 (11%).
Our pick is Cienciano to win at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.35.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cienciano to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| Double chance | Cienciano or draw ✓ | 92% | 1.09 | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Half-time result | Cienciano ahead at half-time ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cienciano / FT Cienciano ✗ | 49% | 2.05 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.25 | – |
Form
Cienciano – last 6
| 25 Oct | @ Comerciantes Unidos | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | vs UTC Cajamarca | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Oct | @ UCV Moquegua | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Sep | @ ADT | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | @ Atletico Torque | 0–3 | L |
Atletico Grau – last 6
| 23 Oct | vs ADT | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Alianza Lima | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Oct | vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Sporting Cristal | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Alianza Atletico | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Deportivo Garcilaso | 2–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cienciano and Atletico Grau.
Primera División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 33 | +30 | 69 |
| 2 |  Universitario | 33 | +20 | 61 |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 33 | +18 | 57 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | +15 | 55 |
| 5 |  Cusco | 33 | -1 | 51 |
| 6 |  Sporting Cristal | 33 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |  Cienciano | 33 | +8 | 50 |
| 8 |  Sport Huancayo | 33 | -1 | 50 |
| 9 |  Alianza Atletico | 33 | +1 | 49 |
| 10 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 33 | +2 | 46 |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 33 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | -3 | 37 |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 33 | -9 | 37 |
| 15 |  ADT | 33 | -11 | 34 |
| 16 |  FC Cajamarca | 33 | -19 | 31 |
| 17 |  UCV Moquegua | 33 | -21 | 30 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 33 | -20 | 19 |
More Primera División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cienciano vs Atletico Grau?
Our pick is Cienciano to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cienciano vs Atletico Grau?
On our numbers Cienciano have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Atletico Grau 8%.
How many goals will there be in Cienciano vs Atletico Grau?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Cienciano vs Atletico Grau?
Cienciano vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.