Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting Cristal to win ✓66% · @1.25
Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw ✓84% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.81
Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos preview and prediction
The match
Sporting Cristal host Comerciantes Unidos in the Primera División on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo. Sporting Cristal are 2nd with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Comerciantes Unidos sit 13th on 16 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sporting Cristal's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat ADT 5–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Comerciantes Unidos's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Juan Pablo II College 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sporting Cristal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Sporting Cristal and 0.9 for Comerciantes Unidos. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting Cristal 66%, draw 19%, Comerciantes Unidos 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sporting Cristal 2–1 Comerciantes Unidos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Cristal66%fair 1.52 · @1.25
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @5.00
Comerciantes Unidos16%fair 6.42 · @9.00
2.93Expected goals
2.06Sporting Cristal xG
0.87Comerciantes Unidos xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sporting Cristal 2.1 – 0.9 Comerciantes Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Cristal to win✓
66%
1.52
1.25
Double chance
Sporting Cristal or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Sporting Cristal ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.81
–
Form
Sporting Cristal – last 6
WWWWWL
1 Oct
vs ADT
5–0
W
27 Sep
@ ADT
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Atletico Grau
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ UCV Moquegua
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
5–0
W
30 Aug
@ Sport Boys
0–1
L
2.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Comerciantes Unidos – last 6
DLLDLW
10 Oct
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Alianza Atletico
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Sport Huancayo
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Universitario
2–2
D
28 Aug
vs FC Cajamarca
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ UTC Cajamarca
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Cristal and Comerciantes Unidos.
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?
On our numbers Sporting Cristal have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Comerciantes Unidos 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our predicted score is Sporting Cristal 2–1 Comerciantes Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
