Value bet: UTC Cajamarca to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUTC Cajamarca to win ✗59% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.72
UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees UTC Cajamarca take on Juan Pablo II College on Friday 11 September, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon. UTC Cajamarca are 18th with 6 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Juan Pablo II College sit 9th on 25 points (in the top half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
UTC Cajamarca's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Alianza Atletico 2–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Juan Pablo II College's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Alianza Lima 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Juan Pablo II College arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for UTC Cajamarca and 1.0 for Juan Pablo II College. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 52% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: UTC Cajamarca 59%, draw 20%, Juan Pablo II College 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.77.
Value angle: UTC Cajamarca to win at 1.83 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: UTC Cajamarca 1–1 Juan Pablo II College. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UTC Cajamarca59%fair 1.69 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.40
Juan Pablo II College21%fair 4.74 · @4.40
2.92Expected goals
1.90UTC Cajamarca xG
1.02Juan Pablo II College xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: UTC Cajamarca 1.9 – 1.0 Juan Pablo II College expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UTC Cajamarca to win✗
59%
1.69
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.77 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.30
Half-time result
UTC Cajamarca ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UTC Cajamarca / FT UTC Cajamarca✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.72
–
Form
UTC Cajamarca – last 6
LLDLLD
4 Sep
@ Alianza Atletico
2–3
L
29 Aug
vs Universitario
2–4
L
25 Aug
@ Alianza Atletico
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Comerciantes Unidos
1–3
L
16 Aug
@ Alianza Lima
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs ADT
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Juan Pablo II College – last 6
DWWLDL
6 Sep
vs Alianza Lima
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
4–3
W
22 Aug
vs ADT
5–1
W
15 Aug
@ Cusco
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Atletico Grau
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Sporting Cristal
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UTC Cajamarca and Juan Pablo II College.
What is the prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College?
On our numbers UTC Cajamarca have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Juan Pablo II College 21%.
How many goals will there be in UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College?
Our predicted score is UTC Cajamarca 1–1 Juan Pablo II College, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College?
UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
