Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Atletico Grau or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Atletico Grau to win @ 1.88 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Grau to win ✓61% · @1.88
Double chanceAtletico Grau or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.99
Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos preview and prediction
The match
Comerciantes Unidos travel to Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo in the Primera División on Friday 14 August (21:00 WAT) to face Atletico Grau. Atletico Grau are 11th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Comerciantes Unidos sit 13th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Atletico Grau's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Juan Pablo II College 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Comerciantes Unidos's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Cusco 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Comerciantes Unidos 3–1 Atletico Grau.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Atletico Grau and 0.7 for Comerciantes Unidos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Grau 61%, draw 24%, Comerciantes Unidos 15%.
Safer route: Atletico Grau or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Atletico Grau to win at 1.88 – 61% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Grau or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Atletico Grau 1–0 Comerciantes Unidos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Grau61%fair 1.64 · @1.88
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.30
Comerciantes Unidos15%fair 6.62 · @4.30
2.27Expected goals
1.62Atletico Grau xG
0.65Comerciantes Unidos xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Atletico Grau 1.6 – 0.7 Comerciantes Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our pick is Atletico Grau or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos?
On our numbers Atletico Grau have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Comerciantes Unidos 15%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our predicted score is Atletico Grau 1–0 Comerciantes Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
