Value bet: Deportivo Garcilaso to win @ 2.78 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Garcilaso to win ✗39% · @2.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso preview and prediction
The match
Cienciano host Deportivo Garcilaso in the Primera División on Monday 17 August, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Cienciano are 12th with 17 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Garcilaso sit 4th on 29 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cienciano's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Botafogo 6–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Deportivo Garcilaso's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat UCV Moquegua 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Garcilaso arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 June 2026, finished Cienciano 2–1 Deportivo Garcilaso. Across their last 2 meetings Cienciano have won 2, Deportivo Garcilaso 0, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Cienciano and 1.3 for Deportivo Garcilaso. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Deportivo Garcilaso to win at 2.78 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Cienciano 1–1 Deportivo Garcilaso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cienciano38%fair 2.63 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Deportivo Garcilaso39%fair 2.56 · @2.78
2.67Expected goals
1.32Cienciano xG
1.35Deportivo Garcilaso xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cienciano 1.3 – 1.3 Deportivo Garcilaso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
On our numbers Cienciano have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportivo Garcilaso 39%.
How many goals will there be in Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our predicted score is Cienciano 1–1 Deportivo Garcilaso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
