Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Sport Boys to win @ 3.55 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Grau to win ✗42% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.26
Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Grau host Sport Boys in the Primera División on Saturday 1 August, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Ambrosio Maco Arroyo. Atletico Grau are 11th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Sport Boys sit 8th on 26 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Atletico Grau's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Sport Huancayo 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Sport Boys's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat ADT 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Sport Boys 1–0 Atletico Grau.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Atletico Grau and 1.0 for Sport Boys. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Grau 42%, draw 25%, Sport Boys 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Sport Boys to win at 3.55 – 34% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Atletico Grau 1–0 Sport Boys. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Grau42%fair 2.40 · @2.14
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
Sport Boys34%fair 2.96 · @3.55
2.10Expected goals
1.13Atletico Grau xG
0.98Sport Boys xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Atletico Grau 1.1 – 1.0 Sport Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys?
On our numbers Atletico Grau have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sport Boys 34%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys?
Our predicted score is Atletico Grau 1–0 Sport Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys?
Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Ambrosio Maco Arroyo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
