Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✓65% · @1.72
Double chanceEstudiantes L.P. or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.35
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.73
Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central preview and prediction
The match
Barracas Central travel to face Estudiantes L.P. in the Copa Argentina on Thursday 27 August (23:00 WAT).
Form guide
Estudiantes L.P.'s last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Sarmiento Junin 0–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Barracas Central's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Platense 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Estudiantes L.P. and 0.8 for Barracas Central. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estudiantes L.P. 65%, draw 21%, Barracas Central 15%.
Safer route: Estudiantes L.P. or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.35.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.35 – 50% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Estudiantes L.P. 2–0 Barracas Central. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estudiantes L.P.65%fair 1.55 · @1.72
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.30
Barracas Central15%fair 6.83 · @5.40
2.70Expected goals
1.92Estudiantes L.P. xG
0.78Barracas Central xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Estudiantes L.P. 1.9 – 0.8 Barracas Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes L.P. to win✓
65%
1.55
1.72 ▲
Double chance
Estudiantes L.P. or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.35 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.15
Half-time result
Estudiantes L.P. ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes L.P. / FT Estudiantes L.P.✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.73
–
Form
Estudiantes L.P. – last 6
LWWDLL
23 Aug
@ Sarmiento Junin
0–2
L
19 Aug
@ U. Catolica
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Gimnasia L.P.
4–0
W
12 Aug
vs U. Catolica
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Deportivo Riestra
0–2
L
5 Aug
@ Boca Juniors
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Barracas Central – last 6
LLLWWW
23 Aug
vs Platense
1–2
L
17 Aug
vs Rosario Central
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ Gimnasia L.P.
0–2
L
2 Aug
@ Deportivo Riestra
1–0
W
29 Jul
vs Aldosivi
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ River Plate
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes L.P. and Barracas Central.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central?
On our numbers Estudiantes L.P. have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barracas Central 15%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes L.P. 2–0 Barracas Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central?
Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central (Copa Argentina) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
