Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBurgan to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceBurgan or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.75
Burgan vs Shamiya preview and prediction
The match
Shamiya travel to face Burgan in the Division 1 on Monday 17 August (18:15 WAT). Burgan are 5th with 4 points from 3 games, while Shamiya sit 6th on 0 points.
Form guide
Burgan's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Khaitan 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Shamiya's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Sporty 3–4 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 2.4 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shamiya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Burgan and 1.0 for Shamiya. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 48% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Burgan 62%, draw 22%, Shamiya 16%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Burgan to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Burgan 2–0 Shamiya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burgan62%fair 1.63 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @4.20
Shamiya16%fair 6.20 · @5.50
3.02Expected goals
2.05Burgan xG
0.97Shamiya xG
48%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Burgan 2.1 – 1.0 Shamiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burgan to win✓
62%
1.63
1.44
Double chance
Burgan or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Burgan ahead at half-time
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burgan / FT Burgan
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.75
–
Form
Burgan – last 6
DLDLLL
14 Aug
@ Khaitan
0–0
D
11 Aug
@ Yarmouk
1–3
L
2 Aug
@ Al Sahel
0–0
D
29 Jul
vs Al Jazira
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Sporty
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Al Qadsia
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Shamiya – last 5
LLWLW
14 Aug
vs Sporty
3–4
L
6 Aug
vs Al Jazira
0–5
L
2 Aug
vs Yarmouk
3–0
W
29 Jul
@ Al Sulaibikhat
0–3
L
25 Jul
@ Khaitan
1–0
W
1.4Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burgan and Shamiya.
Our pick is Burgan to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Burgan vs Shamiya?
On our numbers Burgan have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shamiya 16%.
How many goals will there be in Burgan vs Shamiya?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burgan vs Shamiya?
Our predicted score is Burgan 2–0 Shamiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Burgan vs Shamiya?
Burgan vs Shamiya (Division 1) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Sulaibikhat0
Al Sahel0