Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultYarmouk to win ✓63% · @1.40
Double chanceYarmouk or draw ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.59
Yarmouk vs Burgan preview and prediction
The match
The Division 1 sees Yarmouk take on Burgan on Tuesday 11 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Yarmouk are 2nd with 7 points from 3 games, while Burgan sit 5th on 4 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Yarmouk's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Shamiya 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Burgan's last 4: DLLL Most recently they drew with Al Sahel 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Yarmouk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Yarmouk and 0.8 for Burgan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Yarmouk 63%, draw 21%, Burgan 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Yarmouk to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Yarmouk 1–0 Burgan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yarmouk63%fair 1.57 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.80
Burgan16%fair 6.36 · @7.50
2.65Expected goals
1.86Yarmouk xG
0.79Burgan xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Yarmouk 1.9 – 0.8 Burgan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yarmouk to win✓
63%
1.57
1.40
Double chance
Yarmouk or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Yarmouk ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yarmouk / FT Yarmouk✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.59
–
Form
Yarmouk – last 3
LWL
2 Aug
@ Shamiya
0–3
L
29 Jul
@ Sporty
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Al Sahel
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Burgan – last 4
DLLL
2 Aug
@ Al Sahel
0–0
D
29 Jul
vs Al Jazira
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Sporty
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Al Qadsia
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yarmouk and Burgan.
Our pick is Yarmouk to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Yarmouk vs Burgan?
On our numbers Yarmouk have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Burgan 16%.
How many goals will there be in Yarmouk vs Burgan?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yarmouk vs Burgan?
Our predicted score is Yarmouk 1–0 Burgan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Yarmouk vs Burgan?
Yarmouk vs Burgan (Division 1) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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