Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Aarhus to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAarhus to win ✗65% · @1.80
Double chanceAarhus or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.68
AC Horsens vs Aarhus preview and prediction
The match
Aarhus travel to CASA Arena in the Superliga on Sunday 20 September (15:00 WAT) to face AC Horsens. AC Horsens are 7th with 16 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Aarhus sit 8th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AC Horsens's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Næsby 3–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Aarhus's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Skjold Sæby 6–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
AC Horsens arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 July 2026, finished Aarhus 2–0 AC Horsens.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 0.9 for AC Horsens and 2.2 for Aarhus. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AC Horsens 13%, draw 22%, Aarhus 65%.
Safer route: Aarhus or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Aarhus to win at 1.80 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aarhus or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AC Horsens 0–2 Aarhus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AC Horsens13%fair 7.57 · @3.90
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.50
Aarhus65%fair 1.54 · @1.80
3.19Expected goals
0.95AC Horsens xG
2.24Aarhus xG
58%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: AC Horsens 0.9 – 2.2 Aarhus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Aarhus or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AC Horsens vs Aarhus?
On our numbers AC Horsens have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aarhus 65%.
How many goals will there be in AC Horsens vs Aarhus?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AC Horsens vs Aarhus?
Our predicted score is AC Horsens 0–2 Aarhus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is AC Horsens vs Aarhus?
AC Horsens vs Aarhus (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at CASA Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
