Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: FC Nordsjaelland to win @ 1.75 – our chance 66% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Nordsjaelland to win ✓66% · @1.75
Double chanceFC Nordsjaelland or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓13% · fair 8.00
FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus preview and prediction
The match
The Superliga sees FC Nordsjaelland take on Aarhus on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Right to Dream Park. FC Nordsjaelland are 4th with 23 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Aarhus sit 8th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
FC Nordsjaelland's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with FC Midtjylland 2–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Aarhus's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Silkeborg 2–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
FC Nordsjaelland arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 April 2026, finished FC Nordsjaelland 1–1 Aarhus. Across their last 2 meetings FC Nordsjaelland have won 0, Aarhus 0, with 2 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for FC Nordsjaelland and 0.8 for Aarhus. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Nordsjaelland 66%, draw 20%, Aarhus 13%.
Safer route: FC Nordsjaelland or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.44.
Value angle: FC Nordsjaelland to win at 1.75 – 66% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Nordsjaelland or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Nordsjaelland 2–0 Aarhus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Nordsjaelland66%fair 1.51 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.80
Aarhus13%fair 7.54 · @3.90
2.79Expected goals
2.02FC Nordsjaelland xG
0.77Aarhus xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: FC Nordsjaelland 2.0 – 0.8 Aarhus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus?
Our pick is FC Nordsjaelland or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus?
On our numbers FC Nordsjaelland have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Aarhus 13%.
How many goals will there be in FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus?
Our predicted score is FC Nordsjaelland 2–0 Aarhus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus?
FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Right to Dream Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
