Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Aarhus to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAarhus to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceAarhus or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.45
Aarhus vs Odense preview and prediction
The match
Odense travel to Vejlby Stadion in the Superliga on Sunday 23 August (13:00 WAT) to face Aarhus. Aarhus are 8th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Odense sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aarhus's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Benfica 1–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Odense's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to AC Horsens 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Aarhus arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Aarhus and 0.6 for Odense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aarhus 64%, draw 19%, Odense 17%.
Safer route: Aarhus or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Aarhus to win at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aarhus or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Aarhus 1–0 Odense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aarhus64%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @3.60
Odense17%fair 5.99 · @4.00
2.14Expected goals
1.56Aarhus xG
0.58Odense xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Aarhus 1.6 – 0.6 Odense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aarhus to win✗
64%
1.55
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Aarhus or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aarhus / FT Aarhus✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.45
–
Form
Aarhus – last 6
LLLWDW
20 Aug
@ Benfica
1–3
L
14 Aug
@ Viborg
1–2
L
11 Aug
@ Sabah FA
0–4
L
5 Aug
vs Sabah FA
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Lyngby
2–2
D
29 Jul
@ Lech Poznan
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Odense – last 6
LLWLLL
16 Aug
vs AC Horsens
1–2
L
10 Aug
@ Silkeborg
0–1
L
3 Aug
vs Sonderjyske
1–0
W
24 Jul
@ Viborg
0–1
L
17 Jul
@ FC Midtjylland
1–4
L
11 Jul
@ Brondby
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aarhus and Odense.
Our pick is Aarhus or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Aarhus vs Odense?
On our numbers Aarhus have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Odense 17%.
How many goals will there be in Aarhus vs Odense?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aarhus vs Odense?
Our predicted score is Aarhus 1–0 Odense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Aarhus vs Odense?
Aarhus vs Odense (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Vejlby Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
