Value bet: Aarhus to win @ 3.40 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultViborg to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.47
Viborg vs Aarhus preview and prediction
The match
Viborg host Aarhus in the Superliga on Friday 14 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Energi Viborg Arena. Viborg are 3rd with 26 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Aarhus sit 8th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Viborg's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Sonderjyske 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aarhus's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Sabah FA 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Viborg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 June 2026, finished Aarhus 1–1 Viborg. Across their last 4 meetings Viborg have won 0, Aarhus 3, with 1 draw and 5.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 4 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Viborg and 1.1 for Aarhus. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Viborg 42%, draw 22%, Aarhus 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Aarhus to win at 3.40 – 36% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.39, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Viborg 1–1 Aarhus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Viborg42%fair 2.37 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.65
Aarhus36%fair 2.82 · @3.40
2.29Expected goals
1.21Viborg xG
1.08Aarhus xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Viborg 1.2 – 1.1 Aarhus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Viborg vs Aarhus?
On our numbers Viborg have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aarhus 36%.
How many goals will there be in Viborg vs Aarhus?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Viborg vs Aarhus?
Our predicted score is Viborg 1–1 Aarhus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Viborg vs Aarhus?
Viborg vs Aarhus (Superliga) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Energi Viborg Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
