Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Aarhus to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAarhus to win ✗45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14
Aarhus vs Brondby preview and prediction
The match
The Superliga sees Aarhus take on Brondby on Saturday 25 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Vejlby Stadion. Aarhus are 8th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Brondby sit 5th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Aarhus's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Lech Poznan 1–4 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Brondby's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Hibernian 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Aarhus and 1.4 for Brondby. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aarhus 45%, draw 20%, Brondby 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Aarhus to win at 2.38 – 45% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Aarhus 1–1 Brondby. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aarhus45%fair 2.24 · @2.38
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.60
Brondby35%fair 2.87 · @2.70
2.94Expected goals
1.58Aarhus xG
1.36Brondby xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Aarhus 1.6 – 1.4 Brondby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aarhus to win✗
45%
2.24
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aarhus / FT Aarhus✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.14
–
Form
Aarhus – last 6
LWLWDW
21 Jul
vs Lech Poznan
1–4
L
15 Jul
vs AC Horsens
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Union St. Gilloise
1–2
L
5 Jul
vs Motherwell
4–0
W
27 Jun
vs Viborg
1–1
D
17 May
vs Viborg
6–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Brondby – last 6
LWDWDW
18 Jul
@ Hibernian
1–2
L
11 Jul
vs Odense
4–0
W
4 Jul
vs FC Nordsjaelland
3–3
D
28 Jun
vs Hvidovre
8–1
W
21 May
vs FC Copenhagen
1–1
D
17 May
@ FC Midtjylland
3–2
W
3.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aarhus and Brondby.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Aarhus vs Brondby?
On our numbers Aarhus have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Brondby 35%.
How many goals will there be in Aarhus vs Brondby?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aarhus vs Brondby?
Our predicted score is Aarhus 1–1 Brondby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Aarhus vs Brondby?
Aarhus vs Brondby (Superliga) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Vejlby Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
