St Patrick's Athl. vs Wexford prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
2.00Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓72% · @1.17
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓89% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @2.00
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.75
St Patrick's Athl. vs Wexford preview and prediction
The match
St Patrick's Athl. host Wexford in the FAI Cup on Friday 17 July, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Richmond Park.
Form guide
St Patrick's Athl.'s last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Doncaster 4–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Wexford's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Kerry 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
St Patrick's Athl. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.6 for St Patrick's Athl. and 0.9 for Wexford. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: St Patrick's Athl. 72%, draw 18%, Wexford 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: St Patrick's Athl. 2–1 Wexford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St Patrick's Athl.72%fair 1.39 · @1.17
Draw18%fair 5.69 · @6.00
Wexford11%fair 9.48 · @14.00
3.47Expected goals
2.55St Patrick's Athl. xG
0.92Wexford xG
59%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–08%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 2.6 – 0.9 Wexford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St Patrick's Athl. to win✓
72%
1.39
1.17
Double chance
St Patrick's Athl. or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.77
Half-time result
St Patrick's Athl. ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl.✓
49%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.75
–
Form
St Patrick's Athl. – last 6
WDWLWW
14 Jul
@ Doncaster
4–2
W
10 Jul
@ Waterford
1–1
D
3 Jul
vs Galway United
3–0
W
26 Jun
@ Bohemians
0–2
L
19 Jun
vs Sligo Rovers
2–0
W
12 Jun
vs Drogheda United
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Wexford – last 6
DLDDLL
10 Jul
vs Kerry
2–2
D
3 Jul
@ Finn Harps
0–1
L
26 Jun
vs Treaty United
0–0
D
19 Jun
@ Athlone Town
2–2
D
12 Jun
vs Cork City
0–2
L
29 May
@ Bray Wanderers
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St Patrick's Athl. and Wexford.
What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Wexford?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Wexford?
On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Wexford 11%.
How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Wexford?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Wexford?
Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 2–1 Wexford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Wexford?
St Patrick's Athl. vs Wexford (FAI Cup) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.