Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultValmiera BSS to win ✓71% · @1.17
Double chanceValmiera BSS or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Smiltene take on Valmiera BSS on Monday 22 June, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Smiltene's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Riga FC II 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Valmiera BSS's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Tukums II 4–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Valmiera BSS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Valmiera BSS 4–0 Smiltene.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.3 for Smiltene and 2.7 for Valmiera BSS. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 75% and both teams to score at 64%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Smiltene 1–2 Valmiera BSS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Smiltene13%fair 7.94 · @9.00
Draw16%fair 6.22 · @7.00
Valmiera BSS71%fair 1.40 · @1.17
3.95Expected goals
1.29Smiltene xG
2.66Valmiera BSS xG
64%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
1–17%
0–36%
2–26%
From our goals model: Smiltene 1.3 – 2.7 Valmiera BSS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS?
On our numbers Smiltene have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Valmiera BSS 71%.
How many goals will there be in Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS?
Our predicted score is Smiltene 1–2 Valmiera BSS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS?
Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS (Cup) kicks off on Monday 22 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
