Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: HNK Rijeka to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.98
HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin preview and prediction
The match
The HNL sees HNK Rijeka take on NK Varazdin on Sunday 1 November, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadion HNK Rijeka. HNK Rijeka are 6th with 18 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while NK Varazdin sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
HNK Rijeka's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Dinamo Zagreb 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
NK Varazdin's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
HNK Rijeka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 August 2026, finished NK Varazdin 2–0 HNK Rijeka. Across their last 2 meetings HNK Rijeka have won 0, NK Varazdin 2, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for HNK Rijeka and 0.9 for NK Varazdin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: HNK Rijeka 61%, draw 19%, NK Varazdin 19%.
Safer route: HNK Rijeka or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: HNK Rijeka to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was HNK Rijeka or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: HNK Rijeka 1–0 NK Varazdin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HNK Rijeka61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.50
NK Varazdin19%fair 5.20 · @4.33
2.67Expected goals
1.81HNK Rijeka xG
0.86NK Varazdin xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 1.8 – 0.9 NK Varazdin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?
Our pick is HNK Rijeka or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?
On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and NK Varazdin 19%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?
Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 1–0 NK Varazdin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?
HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
