HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
HNK Hajduk Split or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: HNK Hajduk Split to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.95
HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin preview and prediction
The match
NK Varazdin travel to Stadion Poljud in the HNL on Sunday 18 October (14:00 WAT) to face HNK Hajduk Split. HNK Hajduk Split are 1st with 29 points from 13 games (top of the table), while NK Varazdin sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
HNK Hajduk Split's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Ajax 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
NK Varazdin's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
HNK Hajduk Split arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished NK Varazdin 2–1 HNK Hajduk Split.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for HNK Hajduk Split and 0.9 for NK Varazdin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%.
Safer route: HNK Hajduk Split or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Value angle: HNK Hajduk Split to win at 1.80 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was HNK Hajduk Split or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Varazdin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HNK Hajduk Split62%fair 1.63 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.50
NK Varazdin19%fair 5.37 · @4.00
2.67Expected goals
1.82HNK Hajduk Split xG
0.85NK Varazdin xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: HNK Hajduk Split 1.8 – 0.9 NK Varazdin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
Our pick is HNK Hajduk Split or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
On our numbers HNK Hajduk Split have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and NK Varazdin 19%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
Our predicted score is HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Varazdin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poljud.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
