NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
HNK Rijeka to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✗67% · @1.55
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✗86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.27
NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka preview and prediction
The match
The HNL sees NK Slaven Belupo take on HNK Rijeka on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Gradski Stadion. NK Slaven Belupo are 7th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while HNK Rijeka sit 6th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
NK Slaven Belupo's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Olimpija Ljubljana 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
HNK Rijeka's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat HNK Hajduk Split 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
HNK Rijeka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 April 2026, finished HNK Rijeka 2–0 NK Slaven Belupo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for NK Slaven Belupo and 2.1 for HNK Rijeka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: NK Slaven Belupo 14%, draw 18%, HNK Rijeka 67%.
Safer route: HNK Rijeka or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was HNK Rijeka to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: NK Slaven Belupo 0–2 HNK Rijeka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NK Slaven Belupo14%fair 6.99 · @5.00
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @3.80
HNK Rijeka67%fair 1.48 · @1.55
2.87Expected goals
0.80NK Slaven Belupo xG
2.07HNK Rijeka xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: NK Slaven Belupo 0.8 – 2.1 HNK Rijeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka?
Our pick is HNK Rijeka to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka?
On our numbers NK Slaven Belupo have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 18% and HNK Rijeka 67%.
How many goals will there be in NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka?
Our predicted score is NK Slaven Belupo 0–2 HNK Rijeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka?
NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
