Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Istra 1961 to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNK Osijek to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49
NK Osijek vs Istra 1961 preview and prediction
The match
The HNL sees NK Osijek take on Istra 1961 on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Opus Arena. NK Osijek are 3rd with 20 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Istra 1961 sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
NK Osijek's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Bsk Bijelo Brdo 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Istra 1961's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to HNK Gorica 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished NK Osijek 0–1 Istra 1961. Across their last 2 meetings NK Osijek have won 1, Istra 1961 1, with 0 draws and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.8 for NK Osijek and 1.6 for Istra 1961. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: NK Osijek 45%, draw 21%, Istra 1961 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Istra 1961 to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: NK Osijek 1–1 Istra 1961. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NK Osijek45%fair 2.24 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Istra 196134%fair 2.90 · @3.40
3.44Expected goals
1.84NK Osijek xG
1.60Istra 1961 xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–05%
From our goals model: NK Osijek 1.8 – 1.6 Istra 1961 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?
On our numbers NK Osijek have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Istra 1961 34%.
How many goals will there be in NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?
Our predicted score is NK Osijek 1–1 Istra 1961, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?
NK Osijek vs Istra 1961 (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Opus Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
