Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHNK Gorica to win ✗67% · @1.62
Double chanceHNK Gorica or draw ✗90% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.10
HNK Gorica vs Rudes preview and prediction
The match
The HNL sees HNK Gorica take on Rudes on Friday 9 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion Radnik. HNK Gorica are 10th with 7 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Rudes sit 8th on 16 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
HNK Gorica's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Bravo 3–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Rudes's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with NK Slaven Belupo 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for HNK Gorica and 0.9 for Rudes. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: HNK Gorica 67%, draw 23%, Rudes 10%.
Safer route: HNK Gorica or draw (90%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was HNK Gorica to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: HNK Gorica 2–0 Rudes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HNK Gorica67%fair 1.49 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.75
Rudes10%fair 9.89 · @5.00
3.19Expected goals
2.31HNK Gorica xG
0.88Rudes xG
58%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
3–08%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: HNK Gorica 2.3 – 0.9 Rudes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Gorica to win✗
67%
1.49
1.62 ▲
Double chance
HNK Gorica or draw✗
90%
1.11
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
HNK Gorica ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Gorica / FT HNK Gorica✗
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.10
–
Form
HNK Gorica – last 6
DWDDLD
2 Oct
vs Bravo
3–3
D
19 Sep
@ Istra 1961
1–0
W
14 Sep
vs NK Varazdin
2–2
D
9 Sep
@ Uskok Klis
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Dinamo Zagreb
0–1
L
31 Aug
vs HNK Rijeka
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rudes – last 6
DLWLLW
18 Sep
vs NK Slaven Belupo
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Istra 1961
2–3
L
9 Sep
@ Koprivnica
3–2
W
6 Sep
vs HNK Hajduk Split
0–4
L
29 Aug
@ NK Varazdin
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Gorica and Rudes.
Our pick is HNK Gorica to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win HNK Gorica vs Rudes?
On our numbers HNK Gorica have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rudes 10%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Gorica vs Rudes?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Gorica vs Rudes?
Our predicted score is HNK Gorica 2–0 Rudes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is HNK Gorica vs Rudes?
HNK Gorica vs Rudes (HNL) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Radnik.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
