Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: NK Slaven Belupo to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNK Slaven Belupo to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceNK Slaven Belupo or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo preview and prediction
The match
NK Slaven Belupo travel to Gradski stadion Velika Gorica in the HNL on Friday 18 September (19:00 WAT) to face Rudes. Rudes are 8th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while NK Slaven Belupo sit 7th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Rudes's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Istra 1961 2–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.7 conceded.
NK Slaven Belupo's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to HNK Hajduk Split 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
NK Slaven Belupo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.2 for Rudes and 2.3 for NK Slaven Belupo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rudes 15%, draw 25%, NK Slaven Belupo 59%.
Safer route: NK Slaven Belupo or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Value angle: NK Slaven Belupo to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was NK Slaven Belupo or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rudes 1–2 NK Slaven Belupo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rudes15%fair 6.48 · @3.50
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.30
NK Slaven Belupo59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
3.50Expected goals
1.19Rudes xG
2.31NK Slaven Belupo xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%
From our goals model: Rudes 1.2 – 2.3 NK Slaven Belupo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NK Slaven Belupo to win✗
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Double chance
NK Slaven Belupo or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
NK Slaven Belupo ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NK Slaven Belupo / FT NK Slaven Belupo✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.43
–
Form
Rudes – last 6
LWLLWL
13 Sep
@ Istra 1961
2–3
L
9 Sep
@ Koprivnica
3–2
W
6 Sep
vs HNK Hajduk Split
0–4
L
29 Aug
@ NK Varazdin
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4–1
W
14 Aug
@ Dinamo Zagreb
0–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
NK Slaven Belupo – last 6
LWWLWL
13 Sep
@ HNK Hajduk Split
0–1
L
9 Sep
@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac
5–0
W
6 Sep
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ NK Osijek
0–3
L
22 Aug
vs HNK Gorica
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Istra 1961
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rudes and NK Slaven Belupo.
What is the prediction for Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Our pick is NK Slaven Belupo or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo?
On our numbers Rudes have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and NK Slaven Belupo 59%.
How many goals will there be in Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Our predicted score is Rudes 1–2 NK Slaven Belupo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo (HNL) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
