HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
2
Value bet: HNK Hajduk Split to win @ 3.50 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✓41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.43
HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split preview and prediction
The match
The HNL sees HNK Rijeka take on HNK Hajduk Split on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion HNK Rijeka. HNK Rijeka are 6th with 18 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while HNK Hajduk Split sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table).
Form guide
HNK Rijeka's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Vrbovec 6–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
HNK Hajduk Split's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat NK Slaven Belupo 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
HNK Hajduk Split arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 HNK Rijeka.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for HNK Rijeka and 1.4 for HNK Hajduk Split. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: HNK Hajduk Split to win at 3.50 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: HNK Rijeka 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HNK Rijeka41%fair 2.46 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
HNK Hajduk Split35%fair 2.86 · @3.50
2.92Expected goals
1.52HNK Rijeka xG
1.40HNK Hajduk Split xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 1.5 – 1.4 HNK Hajduk Split expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?
On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and HNK Hajduk Split 35%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?
HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
