HNK Gorica host NK Varazdin in the HNL on Monday 14 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica. HNK Gorica are 10th with 7 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while NK Varazdin sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
HNK Gorica's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Uskok Klis 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
NK Varazdin's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Zagora 4–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
NK Varazdin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished NK Varazdin 1–1 HNK Gorica. Across their last 2 meetings HNK Gorica have won 1, NK Varazdin 0, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.9 for HNK Gorica and 1.4 for NK Varazdin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: HNK Gorica 26%, draw 22%, NK Varazdin 52%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was NK Varazdin to win – a 52% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.93, so there is value in it. Predicted score: HNK Gorica 0–1 NK Varazdin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HNK Gorica26%fair 3.82 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
NK Varazdin52%fair 1.93 · @2.10
2.33Expected goals
0.90HNK Gorica xG
1.43NK Varazdin xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–210%
0–010%
1–29%
1–09%
From our goals model: HNK Gorica 0.9 – 1.4 NK Varazdin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin?
Our pick is NK Varazdin to win with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin?
On our numbers HNK Gorica have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 22% and NK Varazdin 52%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin?
Our predicted score is HNK Gorica 0–1 NK Varazdin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin?
HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin (HNL) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
