Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: NK Varazdin to win @ 1.78 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNK Varazdin to win ✗62% · @1.78
Double chanceNK Varazdin or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 preview and prediction
The match
The HNL sees NK Varazdin take on Istra 1961 on Friday 4 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Gradski stadion Varazdin. NK Varazdin are 5th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Istra 1961 sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
NK Varazdin's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Rudes 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Istra 1961's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Dinamo Zagreb 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
NK Varazdin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished NK Varazdin 2–0 Istra 1961. Across their last 2 meetings NK Varazdin have won 1, Istra 1961 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for NK Varazdin and 1.0 for Istra 1961. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: NK Varazdin 62%, draw 23%, Istra 1961 14%.
Safer route: NK Varazdin or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Value angle: NK Varazdin to win at 1.78 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: NK Varazdin 2–1 Istra 1961. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NK Varazdin62%fair 1.61 · @1.78
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.55
Istra 196114%fair 7.01 · @4.00
3.25Expected goals
2.22NK Varazdin xG
1.03Istra 1961 xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: NK Varazdin 2.2 – 1.0 Istra 1961 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?
On our numbers NK Varazdin have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Istra 1961 14%.
How many goals will there be in NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?
Our predicted score is NK Varazdin 2–1 Istra 1961, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?
NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 (HNL) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Varazdin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
