Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNK Varazdin to win ✓69% · @1.29
Double chanceNK Varazdin or draw ✓88% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.65
NK Varazdin vs Rudes preview and prediction
The match
NK Varazdin host Rudes in the HNL on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Gradski stadion Varazdin. NK Varazdin are 5th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Rudes sit 8th on 16 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
NK Varazdin's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Dinamo Zagreb 1–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Rudes's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 3.0 conceded.
NK Varazdin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.5 for NK Varazdin and 1.0 for Rudes. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: NK Varazdin 69%, draw 18%, Rudes 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 58% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: NK Varazdin 2–1 Rudes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NK Varazdin69%fair 1.45 · @1.29
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @4.80
Rudes12%fair 8.07 · @9.40
3.54Expected goals
2.52NK Varazdin xG
1.02Rudes xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: NK Varazdin 2.5 – 1.0 Rudes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NK Varazdin to win✓
69%
1.45
1.29
Double chance
NK Varazdin or draw✓
88%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.45
Half-time result
NK Varazdin ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NK Varazdin / FT NK Varazdin✗
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.65
–
Form
NK Varazdin – last 6
LWWWLW
22 Aug
@ Dinamo Zagreb
1–3
L
16 Aug
vs HNK Rijeka
2–0
W
9 Aug
@ NK Slaven Belupo
4–1
W
2 Aug
vs HNK Hajduk Split
2–1
W
30 Jul
@ FK Jablonec
0–2
L
23 Jul
vs FK Jablonec
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rudes – last 6
WLLLDL
21 Aug
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4–1
W
14 Aug
@ Dinamo Zagreb
0–4
L
8 Aug
vs NK Osijek
1–6
L
2 Aug
@ HNK Rijeka
1–2
L
26 Jul
@ Göztepe
1–1
D
1 Jul
vs Cukaricki
3–4
L
1.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NK Varazdin and Rudes.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win NK Varazdin vs Rudes?
On our numbers NK Varazdin have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Rudes 12%.
How many goals will there be in NK Varazdin vs Rudes?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Varazdin vs Rudes?
Our predicted score is NK Varazdin 2–1 Rudes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is NK Varazdin vs Rudes?
NK Varazdin vs Rudes (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Varazdin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
