NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
NK Osijek or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: NK Osijek to win @ 1.67 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNK Osijek to win ✓65% · @1.67
Double chanceNK Osijek or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.10
NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo preview and prediction
The match
The HNL sees NK Osijek take on NK Slaven Belupo on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Opus Arena. NK Osijek are 3rd with 20 points from 13 games (in the top four), while NK Slaven Belupo sit 7th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
NK Osijek's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to HNK Hajduk Split 0–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
NK Slaven Belupo's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat HNK Gorica 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
NK Osijek arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 May 2026, finished NK Osijek 2–0 NK Slaven Belupo. Across their last 2 meetings NK Osijek have won 1, NK Slaven Belupo 0, with 1 draw and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for NK Osijek and 1.0 for NK Slaven Belupo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: NK Osijek 65%, draw 21%, NK Slaven Belupo 14%.
Safer route: NK Osijek or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.67.
Value angle: NK Osijek to win at 1.67 – 65% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was NK Osijek or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: NK Osijek 2–0 NK Slaven Belupo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NK Osijek65%fair 1.54 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.80
NK Slaven Belupo14%fair 7.08 · @4.40
3.25Expected goals
2.26NK Osijek xG
0.99NK Slaven Belupo xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: NK Osijek 2.3 – 1.0 NK Slaven Belupo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Our pick is NK Osijek or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo?
On our numbers NK Osijek have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and NK Slaven Belupo 14%.
How many goals will there be in NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Our predicted score is NK Osijek 2–0 NK Slaven Belupo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo?
NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Opus Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
