NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica preview and prediction
The match
The HNL sees NK Slaven Belupo take on HNK Gorica on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas. NK Slaven Belupo are 7th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while HNK Gorica sit 10th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
NK Slaven Belupo's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Istra 1961 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.7 conceded.
HNK Gorica's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to HNK Hajduk Split 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for NK Slaven Belupo and 1.5 for HNK Gorica. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: NK Slaven Belupo 1–1 HNK Gorica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NK Slaven Belupo37%fair 2.69 · @2.74
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.20
HNK Gorica39%fair 2.58 · @2.44
2.99Expected goals
1.48NK Slaven Belupo xG
1.51HNK Gorica xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: NK Slaven Belupo 1.5 – 1.5 HNK Gorica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Gorica to win✗
39%
2.58
2.44
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Gorica / FT HNK Gorica✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.76
–
Form
NK Slaven Belupo – last 6
LLLWDL
15 Aug
@ Istra 1961
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs NK Varazdin
1–4
L
31 Jul
@ Dinamo Zagreb
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Sesvete
4–0
W
21 Jul
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
2–2
D
16 Jul
@ Paks
3–5
L
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
HNK Gorica – last 6
LLLLLW
16 Aug
vs HNK Hajduk Split
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–3
L
1 Aug
vs NK Osijek
0–2
L
23 Jul
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
0–2
L
19 Jul
@ FC St. Pauli
1–2
L
16 Jul
vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NK Slaven Belupo and HNK Gorica.
What is the prediction for NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?
On our numbers NK Slaven Belupo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and HNK Gorica 39%.
How many goals will there be in NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?
Our predicted score is NK Slaven Belupo 1–1 HNK Gorica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?
NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
