Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Istra 1961 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Istra 1961 to win @ 1.94 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIstra 1961 to win ✓64% · @1.94
Double chanceIstra 1961 or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo preview and prediction
The match
The HNL sees Istra 1961 take on NK Slaven Belupo on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadion Aldo Drosina. Istra 1961 are 4th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top four), while NK Slaven Belupo sit 7th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Istra 1961's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with HNK Hajduk Split 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
NK Slaven Belupo's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to NK Varazdin 1–4 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 May 2026, finished Istra 1961 3–1 NK Slaven Belupo. Across their last 2 meetings Istra 1961 have won 1, NK Slaven Belupo 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Istra 1961 and 1.1 for NK Slaven Belupo. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Istra 1961 to win at 1.94 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Istra 1961 or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Istra 1961 2–1 NK Slaven Belupo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Istra 196164%fair 1.55 · @1.94
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.40
NK Slaven Belupo14%fair 7.39 · @3.55
3.41Expected goals
2.35Istra 1961 xG
1.05NK Slaven Belupo xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Istra 1961 2.4 – 1.1 NK Slaven Belupo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Our pick is Istra 1961 or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo?
On our numbers Istra 1961 have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and NK Slaven Belupo 14%.
How many goals will there be in Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Our predicted score is Istra 1961 2–1 NK Slaven Belupo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aldo Drosina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
