NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win @ 1.94 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win ✓64% · @1.94
Double chanceNK Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.48
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica preview and prediction
The match
HNK Gorica travel to Stadion Maksimir in the HNL on Saturday 8 August (20:00 WAT) to face NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 9th with 11 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while HNK Gorica sit 10th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Istra 1961 3–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
HNK Gorica's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to NK Osijek 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished HNK Gorica 0–2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and 0.9 for HNK Gorica. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 64%, draw 22%, HNK Gorica 15%.
Safer route: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.
Value angle: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win at 1.94 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2–0 HNK Gorica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb64%fair 1.57 · @1.94
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.35
HNK Gorica15%fair 6.88 · @3.65
3.07Expected goals
2.14NK Lokomotiva Zagreb xG
0.94HNK Gorica xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2.1 – 0.9 HNK Gorica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win✓
64%
1.57
1.94 ▲
Double chance
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.30
Half-time result
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NK Lokomotiva Zagreb / FT NK Lokomotiva Zagreb✓
What is the prediction for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?
Our pick is NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?
On our numbers NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and HNK Gorica 15%.
How many goals will there be in NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?
Our predicted score is NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2–0 HNK Gorica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Maksimir.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
