Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAragua FC to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.83
Aragua FC vs Monagas II preview and prediction
The match
Aragua FC host Monagas II in the Segunda División on Saturday 6 June, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez. Aragua FC are 2nd with 43 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Monagas II sit 1st on 45 points (top of the table). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Monagas II's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Petare FC 2–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Aragua FC and 0.9 for Monagas II. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aragua FC 45%, draw 23%, Monagas II 32%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Aragua FC 1–0 Monagas II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aragua FC45%fair 2.22 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00
Monagas II32%fair 3.09 · @3.20
2.07Expected goals
1.16Aragua FC xG
0.91Monagas II xG
41%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Aragua FC 1.2 – 0.9 Monagas II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aragua FC to win✗
45%
2.22
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aragua FC / FT Aragua FC✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.83
–
Form
Aragua FC – last 1
W
31 May
@ Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Monagas II – last 5
WWLWL
31 May
vs Petare FC
2–0
W
22 May
vs Atletico Avila FC
2–0
W
17 May
@ Bolívar
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Atletico Avila FC
1–0
W
23 Mar
vs Bolívar
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aragua FC and Monagas II.
What is the prediction for Aragua FC vs Monagas II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Aragua FC vs Monagas II?
On our numbers Aragua FC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Monagas II 32%.
How many goals will there be in Aragua FC vs Monagas II?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aragua FC vs Monagas II?
Our predicted score is Aragua FC 1–0 Monagas II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Aragua FC vs Monagas II?
Aragua FC vs Monagas II (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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