The Concacaf Central American Cup sees CD Marathon take on Alianza on Thursday 20 August, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.
Form guide
CD Marathon's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Atlético Choloma 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alianza's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Cacahuatique 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for CD Marathon and 0.7 for Alianza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Marathon 62%, draw 20%, Alianza 18%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: CD Marathon 1–0 Alianza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Marathon62%fair 1.61 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.50
Alianza18%fair 5.57 · @5.10
2.34Expected goals
1.64CD Marathon xG
0.70Alianza xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: CD Marathon 1.6 – 0.7 Alianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Marathon to win✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Double chance
CD Marathon or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Marathon / FT CD Marathon✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.35
–
Form
CD Marathon – last 6
WWDWDD
16 Aug
@ Atlético Choloma
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ Antigua GFC
3–0
W
8 Aug
@ Platense FC
1–1
D
4 Aug
vs Atletico Independiente
1–0
W
31 Jul
@ CS Herediano
0–0
D
22 May
vs CD Motagua
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Alianza – last 6
DLLWWW
16 Aug
vs Cacahuatique
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Real Estelí
1–3
L
9 Aug
@ Inter
0–2
L
6 Aug
vs CS Herediano
1–0
W
30 Jul
vs Antigua GFC
2–1
W
26 Jul
@ Inca Aruba
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CD Marathon and Alianza.
What is the prediction for CD Marathon vs Alianza?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win CD Marathon vs Alianza?
On our numbers CD Marathon have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Alianza 18%.
How many goals will there be in CD Marathon vs Alianza?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Marathon vs Alianza?
Our predicted score is CD Marathon 1–0 Alianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is CD Marathon vs Alianza?
CD Marathon vs Alianza (Concacaf Central American Cup) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mixco4
UMECIT1
FAS1
Municipal1