The Baltic Cup sees Lithuania take on Latvia on Saturday 6 June, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Lithuania and 1.2 for Latvia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lithuania 41%, draw 24%, Latvia 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Lithuania 1–1 Latvia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lithuania41%fair 2.44 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Latvia35%fair 2.85 · @2.90
2.49Expected goals
1.31Lithuania xG
1.18Latvia xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Lithuania 1.3 – 1.2 Latvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lithuania to win✗
41%
2.44
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lithuania / FT Lithuania✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.22
–
Form
Lithuania – last 2
LW
29 Mar
vs Georgia
0–2
L
26 Mar
@ Moldova
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Latvia – last 2
WW
31 Mar
vs Gibraltar
1–0
W
26 Mar
@ Gibraltar
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lithuania and Latvia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lithuania vs Latvia?
On our numbers Lithuania have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Latvia 35%.
How many goals will there be in Lithuania vs Latvia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lithuania vs Latvia?
Our predicted score is Lithuania 1–1 Latvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lithuania vs Latvia?
Lithuania vs Latvia (Baltic Cup) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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