Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Lahti to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLahti to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.07
Ilves vs Lahti preview and prediction
The match
Lahti travel to Tammelan Stadion in the Suomen Cup on Wednesday 10 June (16:00 WAT) to face Ilves.
Form guide
Ilves's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Lahti 0–5 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lahti's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Ilves 5–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 May 2026, finished Lahti 5–0 Ilves.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Ilves and 1.7 for Lahti. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ilves 38%, draw 24%, Lahti 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Lahti to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ilves 1–1 Lahti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ilves38%fair 2.65 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.10
Lahti38%fair 2.61 · @2.80
3.33Expected goals
1.66Ilves xG
1.67Lahti xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Ilves 1.7 – 1.7 Lahti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Ilves vs Lahti?
On our numbers Ilves have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lahti 38%.
How many goals will there be in Ilves vs Lahti?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilves vs Lahti?
Our predicted score is Ilves 1–1 Lahti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Ilves vs Lahti?
Ilves vs Lahti (Suomen Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 10 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammelan Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Suomen Cup · Finland · Tammelan Stadion
KuPS0
VPS0
SJK1
Inter Turku2