Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndonesia to win ✗45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Indonesia vs Vietnam preview and prediction
The match
The ASEAN Championship sees Indonesia take on Vietnam on Monday 3 August, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Pakansari Stadium.
Form guide
Indonesia's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Timor-Leste 3–0 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vietnam's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Singapore 0–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.8 for Indonesia and 1.5 for Vietnam. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Indonesia 45%, draw 21%, Vietnam 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.93 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Indonesia 1–1 Vietnam. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Indonesia45%fair 2.22 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.35
Vietnam34%fair 2.93 · @2.75
3.30Expected goals
1.78Indonesia xG
1.52Vietnam xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
2–06%
From our goals model: Indonesia 1.8 – 1.5 Vietnam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Indonesia to win✗
45%
2.22
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.93 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Indonesia / FT Indonesia✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.27
–
Form
Indonesia – last 6
WWWWLW
31 Jul
@ Timor-Leste
3–0
W
27 Jul
vs Cambodia
5–1
W
9 Jun
vs Mozambique
1–0
W
5 Jun
vs Oman
3–0
W
30 Mar
vs Bulgaria
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs St. Kitts and Nevis
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Vietnam – last 6
DWWWWW
31 Jul
vs Singapore
0–0
D
24 Jul
@ Timor-Leste
7–0
W
18 Jul
vs Myanmar
4–0
W
13 Jul
vs Gangwon FC
2–1
W
31 Mar
vs Malaysia
3–1
W
26 Mar
vs Bangladesh
3–0
W
3.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indonesia and Vietnam.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Indonesia vs Vietnam?
On our numbers Indonesia have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vietnam 34%.
How many goals will there be in Indonesia vs Vietnam?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indonesia vs Vietnam?
Our predicted score is Indonesia 1–1 Vietnam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Indonesia vs Vietnam?
Indonesia vs Vietnam (ASEAN Championship) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Pakansari Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
