Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultThailand to win ✓65% · @1.45
Double chanceThailand or draw ✓88% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62
Thailand vs Malaysia preview and prediction
The match
The ASEAN Championship sees Thailand take on Malaysia on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Rajamangala National Stadium.
Form guide
Thailand's last 4: WDDW Most recently they beat Laos 5–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Malaysia's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Laos 4–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.5 for Thailand and 1.1 for Malaysia. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Thailand 65%, draw 23%, Malaysia 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Thailand 2–1 Malaysia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Thailand65%fair 1.53 · @1.45
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.50
Malaysia12%fair 8.34 · @5.40
3.58Expected goals
2.49Thailand xG
1.08Malaysia xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Thailand 2.5 – 1.1 Malaysia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Thailand to win✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Double chance
Thailand or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.55
Half-time result
Thailand ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Thailand / FT Thailand✓
46%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.62
–
Form
Thailand – last 4
WDDW
25 Jul
@ Laos
5–0
W
9 Jun
@ China
0–0
D
5 Jun
vs Kuwait
2–2
D
31 Mar
vs Turkmenistan
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Malaysia – last 3
WWL
28 Jul
vs Laos
4–0
W
25 Jul
@ Myanmar
2–1
W
31 Mar
@ Vietnam
1–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thailand and Malaysia.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Thailand vs Malaysia?
On our numbers Thailand have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Malaysia 12%.
How many goals will there be in Thailand vs Malaysia?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thailand vs Malaysia?
Our predicted score is Thailand 2–1 Malaysia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Thailand vs Malaysia?
Thailand vs Malaysia (ASEAN Championship) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Rajamangala National Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Laos1
Philippines4