Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Aarhus to win @ 1.65 – our chance 66% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAarhus to win ✗66% · @1.65
Double chanceAarhus or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71
Aarhus vs Viborg preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees Aarhus take on Viborg on Saturday 27 June, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Aarhus's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Viborg 6–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Viborg's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Aarhus 2–6 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Aarhus arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Aarhus 6–2 Viborg. Across their last 3 meetings Aarhus have won 3, Viborg 0, with 0 draws and 6.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.5 for Aarhus and 1.1 for Viborg. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aarhus 66%, draw 22%, Viborg 12%.
Safer route: Aarhus or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Aarhus to win at 1.65 – 66% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aarhus or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aarhus 2–1 Viborg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aarhus66%fair 1.52 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.90
Viborg12%fair 8.16 · @4.00
3.63Expected goals
2.53Aarhus xG
1.10Viborg xG
65%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Aarhus 2.5 – 1.1 Viborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Aarhus or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Aarhus vs Viborg?
On our numbers Aarhus have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Viborg 12%.
How many goals will there be in Aarhus vs Viborg?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aarhus vs Viborg?
Our predicted score is Aarhus 2–1 Viborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Aarhus vs Viborg?
Aarhus vs Viborg (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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