Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Independ. Rivadavia to win @ 2.38 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndepend. Rivadavia to win ✗47% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.68
Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense preview and prediction
The match
Independ. Rivadavia host Fluminense in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Tuesday 18 August, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Malvinas Argentinas. Independ. Rivadavia are 1st with 16 points from 6 games, while Fluminense sit 2nd on 8 points.
Form guide
Independ. Rivadavia's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Belgrano Cordoba 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Fluminense's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Palmeiras 3–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 August 2026, finished Fluminense 0–0 Independ. Rivadavia. Across their last 3 meetings Independ. Rivadavia have won 1, Fluminense 0, with 2 draws and 1.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Independ. Rivadavia and 1.0 for Fluminense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Independ. Rivadavia to win at 2.38 – 47% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Fluminense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independ. Rivadavia47%fair 2.15 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.96
Fluminense30%fair 3.37 · @3.20
2.30Expected goals
1.32Independ. Rivadavia xG
0.98Fluminense xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Independ. Rivadavia 1.3 – 1.0 Fluminense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
On our numbers Independ. Rivadavia have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fluminense 30%.
How many goals will there be in Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
Our predicted score is Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Fluminense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Malvinas Argentinas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
