Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFluminense to win ✗60% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.23
Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia preview and prediction
The match
Fluminense host Independ. Rivadavia in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Tuesday 11 August, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estádio do Maracanã. Fluminense are 2nd with 8 points from 6 games, while Independ. Rivadavia sit 1st on 16 points.
Form guide
Fluminense's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Botafogo 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Independ. Rivadavia's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Independ. Rivadavia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 May 2026, finished Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Fluminense. Across their last 2 meetings Fluminense have won 0, Independ. Rivadavia 1, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Fluminense and 0.9 for Independ. Rivadavia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 53% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Fluminense 2–0 Independ. Rivadavia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fluminense60%fair 1.66 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.75
Independ. Rivadavia20%fair 4.93 · @4.90
2.69Expected goals
1.80Fluminense xG
0.90Independ. Rivadavia xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Fluminense 1.8 – 0.9 Independ. Rivadavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
On our numbers Fluminense have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Independ. Rivadavia 20%.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our predicted score is Fluminense 2–0 Independ. Rivadavia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
