Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Valeriodoce to win @ 2.70 – our chance 39% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultValeriodoce to win ✗39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.34
Coimbra vs Valeriodoce preview and prediction
The match
The Mineiro 2 sees Coimbra take on Valeriodoce on Sunday 5 July, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Coimbra's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Villa Nova 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Valeriodoce's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Democrata SL 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Valeriodoce arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Coimbra and 1.1 for Valeriodoce. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Valeriodoce to win at 2.70 – 39% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Coimbra 0–1 Valeriodoce. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Coimbra35%fair 2.85 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.90
Valeriodoce39%fair 2.54 · @2.70
2.07Expected goals
0.99Coimbra xG
1.07Valeriodoce xG
44%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Coimbra 1.0 – 1.1 Valeriodoce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valeriodoce to win✗
39%
2.54
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.34
–
Form
Coimbra – last 6
WLDLDL
1 Jul
vs Villa Nova
2–1
W
27 Jun
@ Democrata SL
0–1
L
24 Jun
vs Aymorés
0–0
D
20 Jun
@ Aymorés
1–3
L
17 Jun
vs Democrata SL
1–1
D
13 Jun
@ Villa Nova
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Valeriodoce – last 6
WWDWDW
2 Jul
vs Democrata SL
1–0
W
28 Jun
@ Aymorés
1–0
W
24 Jun
vs Ipatinga
1–1
D
20 Jun
@ Ipatinga
1–0
W
18 Jun
vs Aymorés
0–0
D
13 Jun
@ Democrata SL
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coimbra and Valeriodoce.
What is the prediction for Coimbra vs Valeriodoce?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Coimbra vs Valeriodoce?
On our numbers Coimbra have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Valeriodoce 39%.
How many goals will there be in Coimbra vs Valeriodoce?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coimbra vs Valeriodoce?
Our predicted score is Coimbra 0–1 Valeriodoce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Coimbra vs Valeriodoce?
Coimbra vs Valeriodoce (Mineiro 2) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.