Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Guarani MG to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUberaba to win ✓41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.59
Uberaba vs Guarani MG preview and prediction
The match
Uberaba host Guarani MG in the Mineiro 2 on Tuesday 23 June, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Uberaba's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Guarani MG 2–2 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Guarani MG's last 4: DDWL Most recently they drew with Uberaba 2–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 June 2026, finished Guarani MG 2–2 Uberaba.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Uberaba and 1.0 for Guarani MG. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Guarani MG to win at 3.30 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Uberaba 1–1 Guarani MG. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Uberaba41%fair 2.44 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Guarani MG35%fair 2.88 · @3.30
2.16Expected goals
1.14Uberaba xG
1.02Guarani MG xG
44%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Uberaba 1.1 – 1.0 Guarani MG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Uberaba vs Guarani MG?
On our numbers Uberaba have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guarani MG 35%.
How many goals will there be in Uberaba vs Guarani MG?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uberaba vs Guarani MG?
Our predicted score is Uberaba 1–1 Guarani MG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Uberaba vs Guarani MG?
Uberaba vs Guarani MG (Mineiro 2) kicks off on Tuesday 23 June 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mineiro 2 · Brazil
